Real Estate

More pain ahead for Hong Kong retailers as residents flock to Shenzhen for cheaper goods, slowing recovery


Hong Kong’s economic recovery is slowly filling up retail spaces in the city, pushing vacancy rates to a three-year low. The rebound, however, is bypassing the northwestern part of the city because of the attraction of cheaper goods and services in Shenzhen and neighbouring mainland Chinese cities.

The overall retail vacancy rate dropped to 9.6 per cent in March from 10 per cent a year ago, and is likely to hold steady over the next six months, according to the latest report by Midland IC&I. In Yuen Long, vacancy increased to 7.1 per cent from 5 per cent over the same period, and worsened from 6.4 per cent to 8.3 per cent in Sheung Shui.

“The value of retail sales in Hong Kong has rebounded and the retail industry in the four core areas has continued to recover,” the commercial property agency said in the report on Monday. However, the trend of consumers travelling north “has caused the livelihood in areas near the mainland to be greatly affected,” it added.

The trend has persisted since last year, as noted by Cushman and Wakefield. Shopping streets and malls along the East Rail Line – which connects Lo Wu and Lok Ma Chau in the northwestern part of Hong Kong and Shenzhen – suffered as much as a 30 per cent slump in sales, the property consultancy firm added.

A customer browses at an apparel shop in Mong Kok. Photo: Yik Yeung-man

Some 7.8 million tourists visited Hong Kong in January and February, which was equivalent to 63 per cent of the level seen in 2019 before the Covid-19 outbreak, according to data published by the city’s tourism authority. At the same time, Hong Kong resident departures totalled 15 million in the same period, matching the flow in 2019, according to property consultancy Colliers.

There has been an “upsurge in Hong Kong people heading north for consumption,” Midland said. “Many people will go to the mainland for dining, entertainment and other leisure activities [and] to large supermarkets on the mainland to buy daily necessities. The livelihood in areas [on the Hong Kong side] near Shenzhen will be most affected.”

No Easter joy for Hong Kong retailers as trade group warns of tough times

ParknShop, a supermarket chain operated by Li Ka-shing’s CK Hutchison, was among the casualties when its business in Hong Kong underperformed in 2023 partly because of cross-border shopping in mainland China. Dah Chong last month closed all its 28 outlets, which one analyst said was due to the rise in online shopping and the growing trend of Hongkongers heading north to spend.

Hong Kong’s economy grew 3.2 per cent last year and could expand by 2.5 per cent to 3.5 per cent this year, according to government forecasts. Consumers have been spending more, lifting retail sales in the first two months this year to HK$70.3 billion (US$8.9 billion), a 1.4 per cent increase from the same period last year, according to the latest official data.

Return of mainland tourists lifts Hong Kong retail property segment

Leasing transactions this year have been more concentrated on Hong Kong Island, aiding a 1 per cent gain in retail rents in Causeway Bay and Central last quarter from the final three months of 2023, according to Midland. Rents in Tsim Sha Tsui and Mong Kok fell 2 per cent in the same corresponding period.

Puyi Optical leased two connecting shops on the ground floor of Central Building totalling 2,497 sq ft in February, among some of the larger deals in February. The firm reportedly paid HK$700,000 a month, or about 20 per cent lower than the previous lease, according to JLL.

“Overall retail market will benefit from recurring tourists drawn by the large-scale events and the expansion of the Individual Visit scheme,” said Cynthia Ng, head of retail services at Colliers Hong Kong.

The food and drinks sector is likely to experience a slowdown given the outbound travel rush, while the outlook for goldsmiths and fitness centres will remain positive, Ng said. Demand for high-street shops in core districts, is expected to prevail in the next two quarters, she added.



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