“My view is, we cannot simply categorise the service sector as the ‘virtual economy’,” Sheng said at a forum in Shanghai earlier this week while comparing China’s service sector with that of the United States.
‘Seismic shifts’ in China economy like nothing Beijing predicted, economist says
‘Seismic shifts’ in China economy like nothing Beijing predicted, economist says
China’s service sector, which is now the country’s largest source of jobs, accounted for 54.6 per cent of the national gross domestic product last year, lower than 81.2 per cent in the US, he said.
But Sheng warned against splitting the economy along the lines of real and virtual parts, arguing that high-end elements of manufacturing – including research and development, design, patents, branding and sales – also fall into the realm of producer services.
“Without a hi-tech, high-quality service sector – particularly producer services – there would be no advanced manufacturing,” he said.
China’s producer services – which fall under the services sector – account for 31.4 per cent of the national GDP, compared with 47.7 per cent for the US, according to data provided by the former central bank official.
“These high-end elements of manufacturing also belong to the service sector and are tallied as economic output,” he said.
IMF: China bonds, stimulus will buoy world’s No 2 economy amid property crisis
IMF: China bonds, stimulus will buoy world’s No 2 economy amid property crisis
Citing the example of Chinese tech powerhouse Huawei, he said: “Its core competitiveness is far more than just manufacturing. It’s also in R&D, design and patents – all high-end services.”
He also noted that Huawei diverted more than 23 per cent of its 2023 revenue of 704 billion yuan into R&D, the highest total among all Chinese companies.
Sheng said Beijing should step up efforts to nurture the nation’s high-end producer services, while also encouraging consumption in the digital, green and health sectors while fusing digital technologies with the real economy to better integrate service sectors with manufacturing.
Beijing has been on the lookout for new growth sources for China’s economy amid a persistent property crisis, growing trade barriers and the West’s intensifying tech and geopolitical containment efforts.
Leadership is going all-in on promoting “new productive forces” – a catchphrase coined by President Xi Jinping that encapsulates home-grown innovation, a tech-heavy strategy for the nation’s economic transformation, and progression up the value chain.
But a tendency in some localities to prioritise the real economy and manufacturing while marginalising or overlooking the service sector has some economists and officials worried.
Huang said that only a third of China’s service sector is geared toward producers.
